Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
—
Gimnasia Mendoza — Platense, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Gimnasia Mendoza
1.9LDLDW
Platense
1.6DLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%26%25%
Gimnasia Mendoza49%Draw26%Platense25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gimnasia Mendoza2.04—
XDraw3.81—
2Platense4.03—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGimnasia MendozaPlatenseCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners9.36.37.8
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gimnasia MendozaPlatense
Gimnasia Mendoza 49%, Platense 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Gimnasia Mendoza 49%Draw 26%Platense 25%
1st half
41 · 37 · 21
2nd half
31 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gimnasia Mendoza
- awayEstudiantes0:3
- homeRiestra0:0
- awayDefensa y Justicia0:2
- homeBoca Juniors2:2
- awayIndependiente3:0
Platense
- awayVelez Sarsfield2:2
- homeNewell's Old Boys0:1
- awayEstudiantes1:2
- homeRiestra1:1
- awayDefensa y Justicia0:1
Head to head
- 04/12/26Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518
Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422
Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:263223
Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
Newell's Old Boys27711926:353224
Tucuman27691224:2927
Tucuman27691224:292725
Banfield26761328:3527
Banfield26761328:352726Platense275111121:3226
Platense275111121:322627
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:352528
Riestra263131014:2022
Riestra263131014:2022Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.