Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
—
GIF Sundsvall — IFK Varnamo, Superettan
Sweden, Superettan
GIF Sundsvall
WLLWW
IFK Varnamo
0.9WLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%26%41%
GIF Sundsvall33%Draw26%IFK Varnamo41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1GIF Sundsvall3.04—
XDraw3.89—
2IFK Varnamo2.42—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGIF SundsvallIFK VarnamoCombined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners10.414.212.3
Cards1.21.22.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GIF SundsvallIFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall 33%, IFK Värnamo 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
GIF Sundsvall 33%Draw 26%IFK Värnamo 41%
1st half
31 · 42 · 27
2nd half
29 · 34 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
GIF Sundsvall
- homeLjungskile SK3:2
- awayLandskrona BoIS0:4
- homeÖrebro SK0:3
- awayIK Brage1:0
- homeNorrby IF1:0
IFK Varnamo
- awayIK Oddevold2:1
- homeÖsters IF1:3
- awayUnited IK Nordic4:2
- homeVarbergs BoIS FC1:1
- awayLjungskile SK1:0
Head to head
- 04/14/26Superettan0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Sandvikens IF2597941:3534
Sandvikens IF2597941:353410
Helsingborgs IF25861136:4530
Helsingborgs IF25861136:453011IFK Varnamo25851233:4529
IFK Varnamo25851233:452912
Ljungskile SK25771133:3628
Ljungskile SK25771133:362813
Norrby IF25412928:3524
Norrby IF25412928:352414
Örebro SK25591127:3924
Örebro SK25591127:392415
IK Brage25581239:4823
IK Brage25581239:482316GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319
GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.