All matches

Gaziantep — Corum FK, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Gaziantep
1.5LDWLW
—
Corum FK
1.8LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%26%34%
GaziantepMarket 2.6940%DrawMarket 3.5626%Corum FKMarket 2.6434%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gaziantep40%37%2.492.69+3.1
XDraw26%28%3.833.56-2.0
2Corum FK34%38%2.972.64-4.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.66book 1.65

No40%

ours 2.52book 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGaziantepCorum FKCombined
Goals scored1.172.173.34
Conceded1.172.003.17
Corners7.39.58.4
Cards2.22.04.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GaziantepCorum FK

Gaziantep FK 40%, Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Gaziantep FK 40%Draw 26%Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 34%
1st half
37 · 37 · 26
2nd half
31 · 37 · 31

Bookmakers: 2.69 · 3.56 · 2.64

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Gaziantep

  • awayKocaelispor0:2
  • homeFenerbahce0:0
  • awayGoztepe4:2
  • homeCaykur Rizespor1:2
  • awayEyupspor1:0

Corum FK

  • homeAlanyaspor1:2
  • awaySamsunspor5:1
  • homeEyupspor3:0
  • awayBesiktas2:6
  • homeKasimpasa0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.