Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.94
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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Gaziantep — Erzurumspor, Süper Lig
Turkey, Süper Lig
Gaziantep
1.5LDWLW
Erzurumspor
1.9WLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%28%28%
Gaziantep45%Draw28%Erzurumspor28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gaziantep2.23—
XDraw3.62—
2Erzurumspor3.63—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGaziantepErzurumsporCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners8.58.58.5
Cards2.31.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GaziantepErzurumspor
Gaziantep FK 45%, BB Erzurumspor 28%. The safest is “Gaziantep FK or draw” at 75%.
Gaziantep FK 45%Draw 28%BB Erzurumspor 28%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
32 · 44 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gaziantep
- awayKocaelispor0:2
- homeFenerbahce0:0
- awayGoztepe4:2
- homeCaykur Rizespor1:2
- awayEyupspor1:0
Erzurumspor
- homeSamsunspor1:0
- awayBesiktas0:3
- homeKonyaspor1:0
- awayGenclerbirligi1:1
- homeGalatasaray0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Kasimpasa62407:510
Kasimpasa62407:5109
Caykur Rizespor63127:610
Caykur Rizespor63127:61010Gaziantep62227:78
Gaziantep62227:7811
Corum FK621313:127
Corum FK621313:12712
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:11713
Genclerbirligi62135:137
Genclerbirligi62135:13714Erzurumspor62133:117
Erzurumspor62133:11715
Konyaspor61144:84
Konyaspor61144:8416
Samsunspor61146:124
Samsunspor61146:124Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.