Both teams to score
Yes46%
ours 2.16
No54%
ours 1.86
All matches
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Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 1995, K League 1
South Korea, K League 1
Gangwon FC
DLDDW
Bucheon FC 1995
LDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%28%25%
Gangwon FC47%Draw28%Bucheon FC 199525%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gangwon FC2.11—
XDraw3.58—
2Bucheon FC 19954.07—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGangwon FCBucheon FC 1995Combined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded0.672.172.84
Corners8.29.58.8
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 1995
Gangwon FC 47%, Bucheon FC 1995 25%. The safest is “Gangwon FC or draw” at 78%.
Gangwon FC 47%Draw 28%Bucheon FC 1995 25%
1st half
31 · 49 · 21
2nd half
42 · 41 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gangwon FC
- homeIncheon United FC0:0
- homeJeju United FC0:1
- awaySangju Sangmu Phoenix FC2:2
- homeJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- awayFC Anyang3:0
Bucheon FC 1995
- homeSangju Sangmu Phoenix FC0:2
- homeJeju United FC2:2
- awayIncheon United FC1:2
- homeDaejeon Citizen FC0:5
- homeFC Anyang1:1
Head to head
- 08/01/26K League 10:3
- 03/18/26K League 10:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Jeju United FC301210835:2946
Jeju United FC301210835:29464
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC301111838:2844
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC301111838:28445Gangwon FC301013736:2843
Gangwon FC301013736:28436
Daejeon Citizen FC3010101046:3740
Daejeon Citizen FC3010101046:37407
Pohang Steelers FC301171228:3440
Pohang Steelers FC301171228:34408
Incheon United FC301091136:3339
Incheon United FC301091136:33399
FC Anyang309111038:4738
FC Anyang309111038:473810
Sangju Sangmu Phoenix FC30518730:3633
Sangju Sangmu Phoenix FC30518730:363311Bucheon FC 1995307111231:4032
Bucheon FC 1995307111231:403212
Gwangju FC301121721:6315
Gwangju FC301121721:6315Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.