Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.16
All matches
—
Gandzasar — CSKA Yerevan, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Gandzasar
1.6LLDLD
CSKA Yerevan
1.2DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%30%
Gandzasar44%Draw25%CSKA Yerevan30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gandzasar2.26—
XDraw3.94—
2CSKA Yerevan3.30—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGandzasarCSKA YerevanCombined
Goals scored0.171.171.34
Conceded1.170.671.84
Corners9.09.89.4
Cards2.51.84.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GandzasarCSKA Yerevan
Gandzasar 44%, Banaki Kentronakan Marzakan Akumb 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Gandzasar 44%Draw 25%Banaki Kentronakan Marzakan Akumb 30%
1st half
32 · 43 · 25
2nd half
34 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gandzasar
- homeArarat Yerevan0:1
- awayAvan Academy0:3
- homePyunik0:0
- awaySardarapat1:3
- awayVan1:1
CSKA Yerevan
- homeSardarapat1:1
- awayVan1:2
- homeUrartu2:1
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeArtsakh0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810
Van81164:214
Van81164:21411
Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312Gandzasar80263:172
Gandzasar80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.