Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.51
All matches
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Gamba Osaka — Kyoto Sanga FC, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Gamba Osaka
LLLDD
Kyoto Sanga FC
WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%25%36%
Gamba Osaka40%Draw25%Kyoto Sanga FC36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gamba Osaka2.52—
XDraw4.08—
2Kyoto Sanga FC2.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGamba OsakaKyoto Sanga FCCombined
Goals scored0.000.670.67
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards1.02.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga FC
Gamba Osaka 40%, Kyoto Sanga FC 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Gamba Osaka 40%Draw 25%Kyoto Sanga FC 36%
1st half
35 · 40 · 25
2nd half
33 · 32 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gamba Osaka
- homeVissel Kobe0:1
- homeFC Tokyo0:2
- awayJEF United Ichihara Chiba0:2
- awayV-Varen Nagasaki2:2
- homeSanfrecce Hiroshima0:0
Kyoto Sanga FC
- awayFagiano Okayama2:1
- homeKashiwa Reysol2:3
- awayFC Tokyo0:2
- awayYokohama F. Marinos1:1
- homeAvispa Fukuoka2:1
Head to head
- 06/28/25J1 League1:3
- 04/29/25J1 League2:1
- 09/22/24J1 League2:2
- 04/03/24J1 League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:810
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:81013
Mito Hollyhock823311:119
Mito Hollyhock823311:11914Kyoto Sanga FC822411:158
Kyoto Sanga FC822411:15815
V-Varen Nagasaki822410:158
V-Varen Nagasaki822410:15816Gamba Osaka81348:146
Gamba Osaka81348:14617
Nagoya Grampus82067:146
Nagoya Grampus82067:14618
Avispa Fukuoka81169:124
Avispa Fukuoka81169:124Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.