Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.62
No38%
ours 2.62
All matches
—
Frosinone — Sassuolo, Serie A
Italy, Serie A
Frosinone
2.0WDWWL
Sassuolo
1.8LWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Frosinone49%Draw25%Sassuolo26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Frosinone2.05—
XDraw4.00—
2Sassuolo3.83—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFrosinoneSassuoloCombined
Goals scored1.501.503.00
Conceded0.671.502.17
Corners13.411.412.4
Cards2.41.43.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FrosinoneSassuolo
Frosinone Calcio 49%, US Sassuolo Calcio 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Frosinone Calcio 49%Draw 25%US Sassuolo Calcio 26%
1st half
47 · 34 · 19
2nd half
33 · 35 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Frosinone
- homeComo2:0
- awayGenoa1:1
- homeVenezia3:2
- awayFiorentina3:0
- homeJuventus0:1
Sassuolo
- awayMonza1:2
- homeJuventus3:2
- awayBologna2:2
- homeTorino2:1
- awayAtalanta1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Cagliari54015:212
Cagliari54015:2125
AC Milan532010:411
AC Milan532010:4116Frosinone53119:410
Frosinone53119:4107
Juventus53118:410
Juventus53118:4108
Como53119:610
Como53119:6109
Napoli52127:67
Napoli52127:6710Sassuolo52129:97
Sassuolo52129:9711
Atalanta52035:76
Atalanta52035:7612
Lecce52035:106
Lecce52035:106Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.