All matches

Fram Reykjavik — KR Reykjavik, Úrvalsdeild

Iceland, Úrvalsdeild

Fram Reykjavik
2.3DLDDW
—
KR Reykjavik
2.2LWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%23%33%
Fram Reykjavik45%Draw23%KR Reykjavik33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fram Reykjavik45%2.23—
XDraw23%4.42—
2KR Reykjavik33%3.07—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes71%

ours 1.41

No29%

ours 3.45

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFram ReykjavikKR ReykjavikCombined
Goals scored2.332.675.00
Conceded2.172.174.34
Corners13.515.214.3
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Fram ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Fram Reykjavík 45%, KR Reykjavík 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

Fram Reykjavík 45%Draw 23%KR Reykjavík 33%
1st half
39 · 31 · 30
2nd half
35 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Both teams to score: Yes

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Fram Reykjavik

  • awayKeflavik IF2:2
  • homeBreidablik1:3
  • awayVikingur Reykjavik2:2
  • homeKA2:2
  • awayBreidablik4:3

KR Reykjavik

  • homeVikingur Reykjavik1:2
  • homeIA Akranes5:1
  • awayIA Akranes1:3
  • homeVikingur Reykjavik1:1
  • awayKA5:3

Head to head

  • 08/10/26Úrvalsdeild2:5
  • 05/17/26Úrvalsdeild2:2
  • 08/18/25Úrvalsdeild0:1
  • 05/23/25Úrvalsdeild3:2
  • 09/29/24Úrvalsdeild1:7

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:2359
2KR Reykjavik24145580:5247
3Fram Reykjavik24137459:4746
4Breidablik2496947:4633
5IA Akranes2496944:4733

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.