Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87
No46%
ours 2.15
All matches
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Fortaleza CEIF — Deportivo Cali, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Fortaleza CEIF
1.6DDLDD
Deportivo Cali
1.8WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%28%32%
Fortaleza CEIF40%Draw28%Deportivo Cali32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fortaleza CEIF2.50—
XDraw3.63—
2Deportivo Cali3.08—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFortaleza CEIFDeportivo CaliCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.330.171.50
Corners6.89.38.0
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Fortaleza CEIFDeportivo Cali
Fortaleza CEIF FC 40%, Asociación Deportivo Cali 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Fortaleza CEIF FC 40%Draw 28%Asociación Deportivo Cali 32%
1st half
31 · 44 · 25
2nd half
34 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Fortaleza CEIF
- awayPasto0:0
- homeDeportes Tolima2:2
- homeJunior1:4
- awayJaguares de Cordoba2:2
- awayIndependiente Santa Fe2:2
Deportivo Cali
- homeAlianza Valledupar3:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas2:0
- awayIndependiente Santa Fe1:0
- homeCucuta Deportivo3:0
- awayOnce Caldas2:1
Head to head
- 03/01/26Categoria Primera A1:1
- 07/25/25Categoria Primera A1:1
- 02/09/25Categoria Primera A1:0
- 07/30/24Categoria Primera A2:1
- 01/30/24Categoria Primera A0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
Deportes Tolima351511946:34565
Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117
Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:5029Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.