Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
Forge vs Atletico Ottawa prediction
VARStats prediction for 7 November: Forge 64%, draw 23%, Atletico Ottawa 13%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%23%13%
Forge64%Draw23%Atletico Ottawa13%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Forge1.56—
XDraw4.30—
2Atletico Ottawa8.00—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ForgeAtletico Ottawa
Forge FC 64%, Atlético Ottawa 13%. The safest is “Forge FC or draw” at 85%.
Forge FC 64%Draw 23%Atlético Ottawa 13%
1st half
47 · 38 · 15
2nd half
47 · 35 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricForgeAtletico OttawaCombined
Goals scored2.601.804.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Forge- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches5:0, 3:0, 3:3, 3:0, 1:1
- Unbeaten in 10 matches2:2, 1:1, 2:1, 5:0, 3:0
- Best defence in the league — 24 conceded in 29 matches2nd place, 59 points
Atletico Ottawa- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:2, 1:2, 1:2, 2:0, 3:2
- 3rd in the table — 44 points from 29 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Forge
- awayAtletico Ottawa2:2
- awayPacific1:1
- awayAtletico Ottawa2:1
- homeYork United5:0
- homePacific3:0
Atletico Ottawa
- homeForge2:2
- awayYork United1:2
- homeForge1:2
- awayPacific2:0
- homeCavalry3:2
Head to head
- 11/01/26Premier League2:2
- 10/17/26Premier League2:1
- 09/12/26Premier League3:0
- 05/24/26Premier League1:2
- 04/04/26Premier League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Canada, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.