Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.07
No52%
ours 1.93
All matches
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Fleetwood Town — Rotherham United, EFL League Two
England, EFL League Two
Fleetwood Town
LLLDW
Rotherham United
LDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%28%32%
Fleetwood Town41%Draw28%Rotherham United32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fleetwood Town2.46—
XDraw3.60—
2Rotherham United3.17—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFleetwood TownRotherham UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners11.29.610.4
Cards2.42.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Fleetwood TownRotherham United
Fleetwood Town FC 41%, Rotherham United FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Fleetwood Town FC 41%Draw 28%Rotherham United FC 32%
1st half
35 · 44 · 20
2nd half
27 · 42 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Fleetwood Town
- awaySalford City0:1
- homeRochdale1:2
- awayBarnet1:3
- awayNewport County1:1
- homeShrewsbury Town2:0
Rotherham United
- awayExeter City0:1
- homeCrewe Alexandra1:1
- awayNorthampton Town1:0
- homeSalford City3:3
- awayBristol Rovers0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15
Newport County924312:1210
Newport County924312:121016
Accrington Stanley924313:1410
Accrington Stanley924313:141017Rotherham United924311:1210
Rotherham United924311:121018Fleetwood Town92439:1010
Fleetwood Town92439:101019
Colchester United824210:1210
Colchester United824210:121020
Exeter City92345:69
Exeter City92345:69Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.