Both teams to score
Yes66%
ours 1.51
No34%
ours 2.95
All matches
—
FKS Stal Mielec — Ruch Chorzow, 1. Liga
Poland, 1. Liga
FKS Stal Mielec
1.4LLDLL
Ruch Chorzow
DDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%23%52%
FKS Stal Mielec26%Draw23%Ruch Chorzow52%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FKS Stal Mielec3.91—
XDraw4.38—
2Ruch Chorzow1.94—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFKS Stal MielecRuch ChorzowCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.500.502.00
Corners13.511.512.5
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FKS Stal MielecRuch Chorzow
FKS Stal Mielec 26%, KS Ruch Chorzów 52%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
FKS Stal Mielec 26%Draw 23%KS Ruch Chorzów 52%
1st half
21 · 34 · 45
2nd half
27 · 34 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FKS Stal Mielec
- awayKS Lechia Gdańsk1:7
- homeLKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza1:2
- homeOdra Opole1:1
- awayPogon Siedlce0:2
- awayLKS Lodz0:4
Ruch Chorzow
- awayPolonia Bytom0:0
- homePodbeskidzie3:3
- homeUnia Skierniewice3:1
- awayChrobry Glogow0:2
- awayStal Rzeszow1:0
Head to head
- 03/14/261. Liga1:2
- 08/31/251. Liga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Chrobry Glogow933311:812
Chrobry Glogow933311:81210
Pogon Siedlce83329:712
Pogon Siedlce83329:71211Ruch Chorzow93339:1112
Ruch Chorzow93339:111212
Arka Gdynia 1929932411:1111
Arka Gdynia 1929932411:111113
Unia Skierniewice931510:1510
Unia Skierniewice931510:151014
Odra Opole92347:99
Odra Opole92347:9915
Polonia Bytom916214:179
Polonia Bytom916214:17916FKS Stal Mielec923414:239
FKS Stal Mielec923414:23917
Podbeskidzie908112:148
Podbeskidzie908112:14818
MKS Puszcza Niepołomice82068:126
MKS Puszcza Niepołomice82068:126Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.