Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
—
Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Tobol, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0.9LLWLL
Tobol
2.2LWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
27%25%49%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan27%Draw25%Tobol49%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan3.77—
XDraw4.06—
2Tobol2.05—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricZhetysu TaldykorganTobolCombined
Goals scored0.331.171.50
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners11.311.511.4
Cards2.81.84.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Zhetysu TaldykorganTobol
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27%, FK Tobol Kostanay 49%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27%Draw 25%FK Tobol Kostanay 49%
1st half
29 · 38 · 33
2nd half
30 · 40 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
- homeCaspiy0:1
- awayYelimay1:2
- homeIrtysh Pavlodar1:0
- awayUlytau Zhezkazgan0:3
- awayZhenys1:4
Tobol
- homeYelimay0:2
- awayKairat4:1
- homeUlytau Zhezkazgan3:1
- awayCaspiy0:1
- homeKaisar Kyzylorda3:2
Head to head
- 03/16/26Kazakhstan Premier League2:2
- 10/19/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
- 06/21/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
- 08/18/24Kazakhstan Premier League0:3
- 05/04/24Kazakhstan Premier League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315
Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:382316Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.