All matches

Zhenys — Kaisar Kyzylorda, Kazakhstan Premier League

Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League

Zhenys
1.7LWLLW
—
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1.3DWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%25%20%
Zhenys54%Draw25%Kaisar Kyzylorda20%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zhenys54%1.84—
XDraw25%3.93—
2Kaisar Kyzylorda20%4.96—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.87

No46%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZhenysKaisar KyzylordaCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners8.011.09.5
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZhenysKaisar Kyzylorda

FK Zhenys 54%, FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 20%. The safest is “FK Zhenys or draw” at 76%.

FK Zhenys 54%Draw 25%FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 20%
1st half
38 · 39 · 22
2nd half
37 · 39 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Zhenys

  • awayOkzhetpes Kokshetau1:3
  • homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk3:1
  • awayKairat0:3
  • awayAktobe0:1
  • homeAltay1:0

Kaisar Kyzylorda

  • awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:1
  • homeAtyrau1:0
  • awayAltay0:2
  • homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
  • awayTobol2:3

Head to head

  • 03/08/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
  • 10/26/25Kazakhstan Premier League2:2
  • 03/02/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:0
  • 09/14/24Kazakhstan Premier League1:0
  • 05/18/24Kazakhstan Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Yelimay25108735:3338
7Tobol261041233:3534
8Zhenys26881026:3232
9Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
10Caspiy26851327:3629
11Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
12Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
13Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
14Atyrau254111018:2823
15Altay26581325:3823

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.