Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
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Zenit — Akhmat Grozny, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Zenit
3.5WWLWL
Akhmat Grozny
1.5LWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
70%21%
Zenit70%Draw21%Akhmat Grozny9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zenit1.44—
XDraw4.76—
2Akhmat Grozny10.66—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricZenitAkhmat GroznyCombined
Goals scored1.171.833.00
Conceded1.171.502.67
Corners10.88.29.5
Cards2.02.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ZenitAkhmat Grozny
FK Zenit St. Petersburg 70%, FK Akhmat Grozny 9%. The safest is “FK Zenit St. Petersburg or draw” at 86%.
FK Zenit St. Petersburg 70%Draw 21%FK Akhmat Grozny 9%
1st half
49 · 33 · 18
2nd half
39 · 40 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Zenit
- awayBaltika Kaliningrad3:2
- homeLokomotiv Moskva2:1
- homeCSKA Moscow1:2
- awayFakel Voronezh1:0
- awaySpartak Moscow0:2
Akhmat Grozny
- awayAkron Togliatti0:2
- homeMakhachkala3:2
- awayRubin Kazan1:1
- homeKrylia Sovetov3:3
- homeRostov4:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26Russian Premier League2:0
- 08/09/25Russian Premier League0:1
- 05/24/25Russian Premier League3:0
- 11/10/24Russian Premier League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
CSKA Moscow954015:919
CSKA Moscow954015:9194
Dinamo Moskva961214:819
Dinamo Moskva961214:8195Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912
Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:188Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.