Yelimay 2:1 Ulytau Zhezkazgan, Premier League

Kazakhstan, Premier League18 October at 11:00Match finished

Yelimay

2.3WWLWW

2:1HT 1:0

Ulytau Zhezkazgan

1.6LWDLL

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 18 October at 08:26

63%22%15%

YelimayMarket 1.6263%DrawMarket 3.9122%Ulytau ZhezkazganMarket 5.2515%

Line-upsYelimay3-5-2—Ulytau Zhezkazgan4-1-4-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Yelimay3-5-2Ulytau Zhezkazgan4-1-4-1

32Konovalov4Zhumakhanov15Mittendorfer26Tanasijević17Bakhtiyarov89China44Tyulyubay18Orazov20Ashirbek19Zhaksylykov9Murillo1Nepohodov13Akhmedov25Bukhal4Chalkin2Carmona18Bougnone17Daniyarov14Harada8Vachiberadze90Anane45Zulfikarov

Yelimay3-5-2

Starting XI

32GKIvan Konovalov
26DFStrahinja Tanasijević22′83′83′
15DFMaj Mittendorfer
4DFAdilbek Zhumakhanov
20MFArsen Ashirbek
18MFRamazan Orazov90+1′
44MFAlmas Tyulyubay
89MFChina49′63′
17MFAkmal Bakhtiyarov63′
9FWRoger Murillo32′74′
19FWAybar Zhaksylykov63′

Substitutes

1GKEgor Tsuprikov
5DFMarin Belančić90+1′
8MFMiras Omatay
10MFZhan-Ali Payruz63′
23MFHrvoje Ilić63′
88MFAsan Baygaliev
7FWRoman Murtazaev74′
11FWIvan Sviridov
14FWDuban Felipe Palacio Mosquera
77FWEuloge Fessou Placca63′

Ulytau Zhezkazgan4-1-4-1

Starting XI

1GKDmytro Nepohodov
2DFDavid Carmona79′
4DFMaksim Chalkin
25DFGlib Bukhal
13MFAslan Akhmedov
18MFArthur Bougnone73′
90MFDavid Martin Anane
8MFBeka Vachiberadze89′
14MFHiroki Harada46′
17MFBagdat Daniyarov
45FWBakdaulet Zulfikarov

Substitutes

40GKStanislav Shcherbakov
78GKTimurbek Zakirov
69DFDaniel Maulenov79′
6MFKuandyk Nursultanov
9MFRinat Serikkul46′
22MFIlya Chernyak
10MFAbzal Taubay73′
7FWKotaro Kishi
11FWAriagner Smith89′
21FWOrken Nurali

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.78xG0.31

58Possession, %42

2Shots1

2Shots on target1

16Corners3

1Yellow cards0

1Red cards0

12Fouls6

1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3

Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast markets: landed 154 of 220void — 1

Match result Landed
Yelimay63%
Total goals Landed
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score Landed
Yes52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1Yelimay63%58%1.601.62+4.5

XDraw22%24%4.503.91-1.8

2Ulytau Zhezkazgan15%18%6.565.25-2.7

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Form and context

Yelimay

homeUlytau Zhezkazgan2:1
awayAtyrau2:1
homeAktobe1:3
awayTobol2:0
homeZhetysu Taldykorgan2:1

Ulytau Zhezkazgan

awayYelimay1:2
homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau2:0
awayAktobe2:2
homeAltay0:3
awayTobol1:3

Head to head

10/18/26Premier League2:1
05/03/26Premier League0:1
07/12/25Premier League1:1
04/06/25Premier League3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

4

Okzhetpes Kokshetau28146842:3748

5

Aktobe28136942:3545

6

Yelimay28128840:3844

7

Tobol281241239:3840

8

Ulytau Zhezkazgan28981127:3435

9

Caspiy28961331:3933

10

Zhenys28881229:3832

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.