All matches

Yelimay — Okzhetpes Kokshetau, Kazakhstan Premier League

Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League

Yelimay
2.5WWLLD
—
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
2.1WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%24%20%
Yelimay56%Draw24%Okzhetpes Kokshetau20%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Yelimay56%1.80—
XDraw24%4.13—
2Okzhetpes Kokshetau20%4.95—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.66

No40%

ours 2.51

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricYelimayOkzhetpes KokshetauCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners12.09.710.8
Cards4.02.36.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetau

FK Yelimay Semey 56%, FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 20%. The safest is “FK Yelimay Semey or draw” at 80%.

FK Yelimay Semey 56%Draw 24%FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 20%
1st half
47 · 33 · 20
2nd half
40 · 37 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most corners: Home

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Yelimay

  • awayTobol2:0
  • homeZhetysu Taldykorgan2:1
  • awayAstana0:4
  • homeKairat0:2
  • awayCaspiy2:2

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

  • homeZhenys3:1
  • awayIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
  • homeOrdabasy2:1
  • awayKaisar Kyzylorda3:2
  • awayAtyrau2:0

Head to head

  • 03/07/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
  • 08/02/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
  • 05/04/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Kairat26176351:2057
3Astana25146542:2548
4Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
5Aktobe26126838:3142
6Yelimay25108735:3338
7Tobol261041233:3534
8Zhenys26881026:3232

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.