Both teams to score
Yes39%
ours 2.56
No61%
ours 1.64
All matches
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FK Ural — Veles Moskva, FNL
Russia, FNL
FK Ural
WWDWD
Veles Moskva
LDLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%27%16%
FK Ural56%Draw27%Veles Moskva16%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Ural1.77—
XDraw3.65—
2Veles Moskva6.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK UralVeles MoskvaCombined
Goals scored1.671.172.84
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners8.87.58.2
Cards2.22.04.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK UralVeles Moskva
FK Ural 56%, Veles Moskva 16%. The safest is “FK Ural or draw” at 83%.
FK Ural 56%Draw 27%Veles Moskva 16%
1st half
41 · 47 · 12
2nd half
38 · 43 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Ural
- awayFK Spartak Kostroma2:1
- awayFK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1:0
- awayFK Shinnik Yaroslavl1:1
- homeFK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny2:0
- awayFK Arsenal Tula2:2
Veles Moskva
- homeFK Volga Ulyanovsk1:2
- awayFK Torpedo Moskva1:1
- homeFK Sochi1:2
- awayFK Ufa1:1
- awayFC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod12101136:1431
FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod12101136:14312FK Ural1274120:625
FK Ural1274120:6253
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:1024
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:10244
FK Sochi1272321:1423
FK Sochi1272321:14235Veles Moskva1372417:1623
Veles Moskva1372417:16236
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:921
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:9217
FK Ufa1246216:1318
FK Ufa1246216:1318Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.