All matches

Ulytau Zhezkazgan — Okzhetpes Kokshetau, Kazakhstan Premier League

Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League

Ulytau Zhezkazgan
1.5DLLWL
—
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
2.1WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%26%38%
Ulytau ZhezkazganMarket 2.7137%DrawMarket 4.2226%Okzhetpes KokshetauMarket 2.1838%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ulytau Zhezkazgan37%37%2.742.71-0.3
XDraw26%24%3.874.22+2.2
2Okzhetpes Kokshetau38%46%2.662.18-8.3

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71book 1.48

No41%

ours 2.42book 2.50

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUlytau ZhezkazganOkzhetpes KokshetauCombined
Goals scored1.332.003.33
Conceded2.001.333.33
Corners10.310.210.3
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Ulytau ZhezkazganOkzhetpes Kokshetau

FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 37%, FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 37%Draw 26%FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 38%
1st half
42 · 36 · 22
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34

Bookmakers: 2.71 · 4.22 · 2.18

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

67%1.64
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Ulytau Zhezkazgan

  • awayAktobe2:2
  • homeAltay0:3
  • awayTobol1:3
  • homeZhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
  • awayKairat1:3

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

  • homeZhenys3:1
  • awayIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
  • homeOrdabasy2:1
  • awayKaisar Kyzylorda3:2
  • awayAtyrau2:0

Head to head

  • 03/21/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
  • 07/19/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:1
  • 04/19/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Kairat26176351:2057
3Astana25146542:2548
4Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
5Aktobe26126838:3142
6Yelimay25108735:3338
7Tobol261041233:3534
8Zhenys26881026:3232
9Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
10Caspiy26851327:3629
11Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.