Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
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Ulytau Zhezkazgan — Atyrau, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Ulytau Zhezkazgan
1.5DLLWL
Atyrau
1.2LLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%26%
Ulytau Zhezkazgan47%Draw27%Atyrau26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ulytau Zhezkazgan2.12—
XDraw3.68—
2Atyrau3.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUlytau ZhezkazganAtyrauCombined
Goals scored0.500.000.50
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners11.711.511.6
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ulytau ZhezkazganAtyrau
FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 47%, FK Atyrau 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan 47%Draw 27%FK Atyrau 26%
1st half
41 · 40 · 19
2nd half
28 · 42 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ulytau Zhezkazgan
- awayAktobe2:2
- homeAltay0:3
- awayTobol1:3
- homeZhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
- awayKairat1:3
Atyrau
- homeOrdabasy0:3
- awayKaisar Kyzylorda0:1
- awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:0
- homeAstana2:3
- homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau0:2
Head to head
- 03/08/26Kazakhstan Premier League0:0
- 09/27/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:5
- 06/14/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315
Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:382316
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.