Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.73
No42%
ours 2.37
All matches
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FK Ufa — FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod, FNL
Russia, FNL
FK Ufa
DLDDW
FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod
0.9WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%26%45%
FK Ufa29%Draw26%FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Ufa3.46—
XDraw3.82—
2FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod2.23—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK UfaFK Olimpiyets Nizhny NovgorodCombined
Goals scored0.671.832.50
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners7.811.09.4
Cards2.02.34.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK UfaFK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod
FK Ufa 29%, FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod 45%. The safest is “FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod or draw” at 77%.
FK Ufa 29%Draw 26%FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod 45%
1st half
34 · 37 · 28
2nd half
16 · 37 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Ufa
- homeFK Torpedo Moskva0:0
- awayFK Chelyabinsk1:2
- homeFK Volga Ulyanovsk2:2
- homeVeles Moskva1:1
- awayFK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1:0
FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod
- homeFK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast6:0
- awayFK Torpedo Moskva2:1
- awayFK Sochi1:0
- homeFK Volga Ulyanovsk2:2
- homeFK SKA-Khabarovsk4:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod12101136:1431
FK Olimpiyets Nizhny Novgorod12101136:14312
FK Ural1274120:625
FK Ural1274120:6253
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:1024
FK Spartak Kostroma1273216:10244
FK Sochi1272321:1423
FK Sochi1272321:14235
Veles Moskva1372417:1623
Veles Moskva1372417:16236
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:921
FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:9217FK Ufa1246216:1318
FK Ufa1246216:13188
FK Rotor Volgograd1252520:1417
FK Rotor Volgograd1252520:14179
FK Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:1316
FK Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:1316Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.