All matches

Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan, Russian Premier League

Russia, Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow
2.8WWLDW
—
Rubin Kazan
2.1DDDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
59%25%15%
Spartak Moscow59%Draw25%Rubin Kazan15%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Spartak Moscow59%1.68—
XDraw25%3.93—
2Rubin Kazan15%6.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSpartak MoscowRubin KazanCombined
Goals scored1.331.172.50
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners8.410.49.4
Cards2.62.45.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Spartak MoscowRubin Kazan

FK Spartak Moskva 59%, FK Rubin Kazan 15%. The safest is “FK Spartak Moskva or draw” at 84%.

FK Spartak Moskva 59%Draw 25%FK Rubin Kazan 15%
1st half
44 · 36 · 20
2nd half
40 · 40 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Spartak Moscow

  • homeFakel Voronezh1:0
  • homeRostov3:0
  • awayDinamo Moskva1:2
  • homeOrenburg1:1
  • homeZenit2:0

Rubin Kazan

  • awayRodina Moskva1:1
  • awayCSKA Moscow1:1
  • homeAkhmat Grozny1:1
  • homeMakhachkala3:1
  • awayBaltika Kaliningrad1:1

Head to head

  • 05/11/26Russian Premier League2:1
  • 08/23/25Russian Premier League2:0
  • 03/09/25Russian Premier League1:2
  • 08/31/24Russian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Krasnodar963014:721
2Spartak Moscow961216:719
3CSKA Moscow954015:919
4Dinamo Moskva961214:819
5Zenit960319:918
6Rubin Kazan926112:1112
7Makhachkala940515:1612
8Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.