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Sileks vs FC Struga Trim-Lum prediction

FYR Macedonia, First League

VARStats prediction for 28 November: Sileks 38%, FC Struga Trim-Lum 35%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.4DWWDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%27%35%
Sileks38%Draw27%FC Struga Trim-Lum35%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sileks38%2.64—
XDraw27%3.70—
2FC Struga Trim-Lum35%2.85—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

Fair price 1.72

No42%

Fair price 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SileksFC Struga Trim-Lum

FK Sileks 38%, FC Struga Trim-Lum 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

FK Sileks 38%Draw 27%FC Struga Trim-Lum 35%
1st half
30 · 44 · 26
2nd half
36 · 32 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSileksFC Struga Trim-LumCombined
Goals scored1.202.804.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Sileks
  • schedule6 days’ rest
  • 4 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 2:0, 3:0, 1:1, 0:0
  • Unbeaten in 6 matches0:0, 2:0, 3:0, 1:1, 0:0
  • 9th of 10 for corners — 6.4 per match10 teams in the league
FC Struga Trim-Lum
  • schedule6 days’ rest
  • 4 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 4:0, 2:0, 1:2, 6:0
  • 14 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 4:0, 2:0, 1:2, 6:0
  • Best attack in the league — 27 goals in 12 matches1st place, 26 points

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Sileks

  • awayFK Skopje0:0
  • homeShkendija 772:0
  • awayBashkimi3:0
  • awayAresimi1:1
  • homeFK Tikveš0:0

FC Struga Trim-Lum

  • awayVardar1:0
  • homeFK Skopje4:0
  • awayShkendija 772:0
  • awayBashkimi1:2
  • homeAresimi6:0

Head to head

  • 09/07/26First League0:1
  • 04/27/26First League0:2
  • 02/15/26First League3:2
  • 09/22/25First League1:3
  • 04/27/25First League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Struga Trim-Lum1282227:726
2Shkendija1282226:1226
3Vardar1272318:1023
4FK Tikveš1256125:1021
5Sileks1245319:1117
6Shkendija 77124358:1515
7Bregalnica Stip1241716:2213

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.