Both teams to score
Yes45%
ours 2.21
No55%
ours 1.83
All matches
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Sheriff — Sireti, Moldovan National Division
Moldova, Moldovan National Division
Sheriff
2.8WWDLW
Sireti
1.5LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
78%18%
Sheriff78%Draw18%Sireti5%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sheriff1.28—
XDraw5.69—
2Sireti21.98—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSheriffSiretiCombined
Goals scored2.500.332.83
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners10.68.69.6
Cards0.60.41.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SheriffSireti
FK Sheriff Tiraspol 78%, FC Sireți 5%. The safest is “FK Sheriff Tiraspol or draw” at 95%.
FK Sheriff Tiraspol 78%Draw 18%FC Sireți 5%
1st half
54 · 37 · 9
2nd half
52 · 35 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sheriff
- homeCSF Balti7:0
- awayMilsami1:0
- homePetrocub2:2
- awayZimbru1:2
- homeCSM Politehnica Iasi4:0
Sireti
- homeMilsami1:2
- awayPetrocub1:2
- homeZimbru0:2
- awayCSM Politehnica Iasi0:0
- homeCSCA Buiucani0:0
Head to head
- 08/16/26Moldovan National Division1:1
- 06/28/26Moldovan National Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
Sheriff1384132:10282
Zimbru1382327:1226
Zimbru1382327:12263
Petrocub1373324:1324
Petrocub1373324:13244
CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
CSCA Buiucani1362517:16205
Milsami1345413:1717
Milsami1345413:17176
CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:19157Sireti130768:197
Sireti130768:1978
CSF Balti1312109:425
CSF Balti1312109:425Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.