All matches

FK Rotor Volgograd — FK Volga Ulyanovsk, FNL

Russia, FNL

FK Rotor Volgograd
WWDLL
—
FK Volga Ulyanovsk
WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%26%18%
FK Rotor Volgograd56%Draw26%FK Volga Ulyanovsk18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Rotor Volgograd56%1.79—
XDraw26%3.86—
2FK Volga Ulyanovsk18%5.49—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.87

No47%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFK Rotor VolgogradFK Volga UlyanovskCombined
Goals scored1.501.503.00
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners9.29.39.3
Cards3.02.85.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FK Rotor VolgogradFK Volga Ulyanovsk

FK Rotor Volgograd 56%, FK Volga Ulyanovsk 18%. The safest is “FK Rotor Volgograd or draw” at 79%.

FK Rotor Volgograd 56%Draw 26%FK Volga Ulyanovsk 18%
1st half
44 · 38 · 19
2nd half
35 · 44 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FK Rotor Volgograd

  • awayFC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo2:0
  • homeFK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk4:0
  • awayFK Shinnik Yaroslavl2:2
  • awayFK Spartak Kostroma0:1
  • homeFK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0:1

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

  • awayVeles Moskva2:1
  • homeFK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast0:1
  • homeFK Spartak Kostroma0:1
  • awayFK Ufa2:2
  • homeFK Arsenal Tula3:0

Head to head

  • 04/26/26FNL0:0
  • 07/19/25FNL2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6FK Torpedo Moskva1263321:921
7FK Ufa1246216:1318
8FK Rotor Volgograd1252520:1417
9FK Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:1316
10FK Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:1914
11FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk1235415:2014
12FK Arsenal Tula1234512:2213

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.