All matches

Radnicki Nis — Partizan, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

Radnicki Nis
1.4LLLLW
  
Partizan
2.4LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
21%26%53%
Radnicki NisMarket 4.0421%DrawMarket 3.8526%PartizanMarket 1.8353%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radnicki Nis21%24%4.734.04-2.4
XDraw26%25%3.873.85+1.1
2Partizan53%52%1.881.83+1.3

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67book 1.56

No40%

ours 2.50book 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3521 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3510 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3490 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Radnicki NisPartizan

FK Radnički Niš 21%, FK Partizan Beograd 53%. The safest is “FK Partizan Beograd or draw” at 79%.

FK Radnički Niš 21%Draw 26%FK Partizan Beograd 53%
1st half
27 · 36 · 37
2nd half
22 · 33 · 45

Bookmakers: 4.04 · 3.85 · 1.83

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

61%1.49
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRadnicki NisPartizanCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Radnicki Nis
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
  • 4 defeats in a row0:2, 0:3, 1:4, 0:3, 3:1
  • Relegation zone: 13th of 14
Partizan
  • Winless away in 5 matches0:1, 4:4, 1:2, 1:3, 1:3
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:2, 0:1, 1:0, 4:4, 2:3

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Radnicki Nis

  • homeNovi Pazar0:2
  • awayRadnik Surdulica0:3
  • homeVojvodina1:4
  • awayRed Star Belgrade0:3
  • homeOFK Beograd3:1

Partizan

  • homeCukaricki Stankom0:2
  • awayZeleznicar Pancevo0:1
  • homeNovi Pazar1:0
  • awayRadnik Surdulica4:4
  • homeVojvodina2:3

Head to head

  • 01/31/26SuperLiga0:0
  • 08/24/25SuperLiga2:2
  • 12/21/24SuperLiga0:1
  • 12/04/24SuperLiga1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Radnik Surdulica1345417:1717
9Novi Pazar1344513:1416
10Partizan1232718:2211
11OFK Beograd1325614:2311
12Macva Sabac132479:2110
13Radnicki Nis122287:208
14Zemun131397:256

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.