All matches

Radnicki Nis — Novi Pazar, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

Radnicki Nis
1.5LWLDL
—
Novi Pazar
2.0DDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%27%36%
Radnicki Nis37%Draw27%Novi Pazar36%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radnicki Nis37%2.68—
XDraw27%3.71—
2Novi Pazar36%2.79—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71

No41%

ours 2.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRadnicki NisNovi PazarCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners8.08.38.1
Cards3.32.55.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Radnicki NisNovi Pazar

FK Radnički Niš 37%, FK Novi Pazar 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FK Radnički Niš 37%Draw 27%FK Novi Pazar 36%
1st half
34 · 37 · 29
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Radnicki Nis

  • awayRed Star Belgrade0:3
  • homeOFK Beograd3:1
  • awayMladost Lucani0:1
  • homeRadnicki Kragujevac1:1
  • awayMacva Sabac0:1

Novi Pazar

  • homeZemun2:2
  • awayCukaricki Stankom1:1
  • homeZeleznicar Pancevo2:0
  • homeMacva Sabac1:1
  • awayRadnik Surdulica0:1

Head to head

  • 12/14/25SuperLiga0:1
  • 08/10/25SuperLiga2:3
  • 04/07/25SuperLiga3:3
  • 11/09/24SuperLiga2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
7Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
8Novi Pazar1034310:1113
9Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811
10OFK Beograd1023513:219
11Partizan922517:198
12Radnicki Nis92256:118
13Macva Sabac102266:178
14Zemun100376:193

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.