All matches

Radnicki Kragujevac — Radnik Surdulica, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

Radnicki Kragujevac
2.0WWDDW
—
Radnik Surdulica
1.9DDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%27%25%
Radnicki Kragujevac48%Draw27%Radnik Surdulica25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radnicki Kragujevac48%2.07—
XDraw27%3.77—
2Radnik Surdulica25%3.97—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRadnicki KragujevacRadnik SurdulicaCombined
Goals scored1.831.333.16
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners9.08.88.9
Cards3.03.36.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Radnicki KragujevacRadnik Surdulica

FK Radnički 1923 Kragujevac 48%, FK Radnik Surdulica 25%. The safest is “FK Radnički 1923 Kragujevac or draw” at 77%.

FK Radnički 1923 Kragujevac 48%Draw 27%FK Radnik Surdulica 25%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
39 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Radnicki Kragujevac

  • awayOFK Beograd5:3
  • homeMladost Lucani5:0
  • awayMacva Sabac0:0
  • awayRadnicki Nis1:1
  • homeIMT Novi Beograd2:1

Radnik Surdulica

  • homePartizan4:4
  • awayZemun1:1
  • homeRed Star Belgrade0:0
  • homeCukaricki Stankom3:1
  • awayZeleznicar Pancevo1:5

Head to head

  • 02/15/26SuperLiga0:0
  • 09/13/25SuperLiga3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Red Star Belgrade1091024:328
2Vojvodina1071221:1022
3Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
4Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
5IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
6Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
7Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
8Novi Pazar1034310:1113
9Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.