Both teams to score
Yes40%
ours 2.51
No60%
ours 1.66
All matches
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FK Qo'qon 1912 — Mash'al Mubarek, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Qo'qon 1912
LLDDW
Mash'al Mubarek
LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%24%17%
FK Qo'qon 191259%Draw24%Mash'al Mubarek17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Qo'qon 19121.70—
XDraw4.20—
2Mash'al Mubarek5.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK Qo'qon 1912Mash'al MubarekCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.002.503.50
Corners9.79.89.8
Cards1.51.73.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK Qo'qon 1912Mash'al Mubarek
FK Qo'qon 1912 59%, Mash'al Mubarek 17%. The safest is “FK Qo'qon 1912 or draw” at 79%.
FK Qo'qon 1912 59%Draw 24%Mash'al Mubarek 17%
1st half
42 · 45 · 13
2nd half
34 · 43 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Qo'qon 1912
- awayTermez Surkhon0:1
- awayFK Andijan1:2
- homePFK Dinamo Samarqand1:1
- homeBuxoro FK1:1
- awayFK Bunyodkor1:0
Mash'al Mubarek
- homeFK Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
- awayFK Lokomotiv Tashkent0:3
- awayFK Sogdiana Jizak2:5
- homeFK Navbahor Namangan0:2
- homeFK Andijan0:1
Head to head
- 07/17/26Uzbekistan Super League0:1
- 11/02/25Uzbekistan Super League0:1
- 06/13/25Uzbekistan Super League0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
FK Bunyodkor22711422:3622
FK Bunyodkor22711422:362214
Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:3422
Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:342215FK Qo'qon 191222481019:3020
FK Qo'qon 191222481019:302016Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444
Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.