Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Pardubice — Slovan Liberec, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Pardubice
1.3WWDLL
Slovan Liberec
2.3DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%25%46%
Pardubice29%Draw25%Slovan Liberec46%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Pardubice3.46—
XDraw4.03—
2Slovan Liberec2.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPardubiceSlovan LiberecCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners8.38.78.5
Cards2.72.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PardubiceSlovan Liberec
FK Pardubice 29%, FC Slovan Liberec 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FK Pardubice 29%Draw 25%FC Slovan Liberec 46%
1st half
29 · 43 · 28
2nd half
28 · 37 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Pardubice
- homeBohemians 19052:1
- awayBanik Ostrava2:1
- awaySlovacko0:0
- homeLisen1:2
- awaySigma Olomouc1:3
Slovan Liberec
- awayLisen0:0
- homeMlada Boleslav3:0
- awayJablonec2:1
- homeHradec Kralove2:0
- awayFASTAV Zlin1:0
Head to head
- 11/22/25First League0:4
- 07/27/25First League1:2
- 12/14/24First League1:1
- 08/18/24First League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Slavia Prague972025:623
Slavia Prague972025:6232Slovan Liberec962113:420
Slovan Liberec962113:4203
Mlada Boleslav852117:917
Mlada Boleslav852117:9174
Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
Sigma Olomouc951316:13165
Teplice951317:1516
Teplice951317:15166
Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
Zbrojovka Brno951312:12167
Sparta Prague950418:1215
Sparta Prague950418:12158
Jablonec942311:914
Jablonec942311:9149
Hradec Kralove94238:914
Hradec Kralove94238:91410
Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
Viktoria Plzen924317:171011
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:171012
Bohemians 190582339:119
Bohemians 190582339:11913Pardubice92259:148
Pardubice92259:14814
Lisen91267:185
Lisen91267:18515
Slovacko90457:164
Slovacko90457:164Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.