Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Ordabasy — Zhenys, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Ordabasy
2.8WWLWW
Zhenys
1.7LWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%21%11%
Ordabasy67%Draw21%Zhenys11%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ordabasy1.49—
XDraw4.68—
2Zhenys8.83—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOrdabasyZhenysCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.331.331.66
Corners9.88.08.9
Cards1.02.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OrdabasyZhenys
FK Ordabasy Shymkent 67%, FK Zhenys 11%. The safest is “FK Ordabasy Shymkent or draw” at 85%.
FK Ordabasy Shymkent 67%Draw 21%FK Zhenys 11%
1st half
43 · 39 · 18
2nd half
45 · 36 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ordabasy
- awayAtyrau3:0
- homeAstana1:0
- awayOkzhetpes Kokshetau1:2
- homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk3:0
- homeAltay3:1
Zhenys
- awayOkzhetpes Kokshetau1:3
- homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk3:1
- awayKairat0:3
- awayAktobe0:1
- homeAltay1:0
Head to head
- 03/16/26Kazakhstan Premier League2:0
- 09/13/25Kazakhstan Premier League2:1
- 05/30/25Kazakhstan Premier League2:2
- 10/26/24Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
- 06/23/24Kazakhstan Premier League3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Ordabasy26194351:1861
Ordabasy26194351:18612
Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573
Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:3629Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.