Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74book 1.70
No43%
ours 2.35book 2.01
All matches
Okzhetpes Kokshetau — Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk, Premier League
Kazakhstan, Premier League
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
2.1LWLWW
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
1.6WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%25%23%
Okzhetpes KokshetauMarket 2.2052%DrawMarket 3.3625%Kyzyl-Zhar PetropavlovskMarket 3.2123%
Line-upsLine-ups not announced yet — they usually appear an hour before kick-off.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.942.20+6.0
XDraw3.983.36-4.6
2Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk4.303.21-7.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1969 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1965 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1955 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Okzhetpes KokshetauKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 52%, FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 52%Draw 25%FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk 23%
1st half
29 · 43 · 28
2nd half
40 · 34 · 26
Bookmakers: 2.20 · 3.36 · 3.21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
69%1.39
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOkzhetpes KokshetauKyzyl-Zhar PetropavlovskCombined
Goals scored1.830.832.66
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners9.29.89.5
Cards2.71.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- awayUlytau Zhezkazgan0:2
- homeZhenys3:1
- awayIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
- homeOrdabasy2:1
- awayKaisar Kyzylorda3:2
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
- awayIrtysh Pavlodar2:0
- homeKaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- awayZhenys1:3
- homeAtyrau0:1
- awayOrdabasy0:3
Head to head
- 05/02/26Premier League1:0
- 09/13/25Premier League1:3
- 05/31/25Premier League3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Astana27156644:2751
Astana27156644:27514
Aktobe27136841:3245
Aktobe27136841:32455Okzhetpes Kokshetau27136841:3745
Okzhetpes Kokshetau27136841:37456
Yelimay27118838:3741
Yelimay27118838:37417
Tobol271141235:3637
Tobol271141235:36378
Ulytau Zhezkazgan27981026:3235
Ulytau Zhezkazgan27981026:32359
Zhenys27881127:3432
Zhenys27881127:343210
Caspiy27951329:3732
Caspiy27951329:373211Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk27771330:3928
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk27771330:392812
Atyrau275111121:3126
Atyrau275111121:312613
Irtysh Pavlodar27681326:3726
Irtysh Pavlodar27681326:3726Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.