Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.73
No42%
ours 2.37
All matches
—
Okzhetpes Kokshetau — Caspiy, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
2.1WLWWW
Caspiy
1.7WLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%25%21%
Okzhetpes Kokshetau54%Draw25%Caspiy21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.84—
XDraw4.03—
2Caspiy4.81—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOkzhetpes KokshetauCaspiyCombined
Goals scored1.500.502.00
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners9.09.59.3
Cards3.31.34.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Okzhetpes KokshetauCaspiy
FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 54%, FC Caspiy 21%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FK Okzhetpes Kokshetau 54%Draw 25%FC Caspiy 21%
1st half
40 · 36 · 25
2nd half
38 · 38 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- homeZhenys3:1
- awayIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
- homeOrdabasy2:1
- awayKaisar Kyzylorda3:2
- awayAtyrau2:0
Caspiy
- awayZhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- homeAktobe1:2
- homeKairat0:3
- homeTobol1:0
- homeYelimay2:2
Head to head
- 03/17/26Kazakhstan Premier League3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573
Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.