All matches

Novi Pazar — IMT Novi Beograd, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

Novi Pazar
2.0DDWDL
—
IMT Novi Beograd
2.0DLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%28%31%
Novi Pazar41%Draw28%IMT Novi Beograd31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Novi Pazar41%2.42—
XDraw28%3.62—
2IMT Novi Beograd31%3.22—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNovi PazarIMT Novi BeogradCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners9.07.28.1
Cards2.82.45.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Novi PazarIMT Novi Beograd

FK Novi Pazar 41%, FK IMT Novi Beograd 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

FK Novi Pazar 41%Draw 28%FK IMT Novi Beograd 31%
1st half
40 · 38 · 22
2nd half
27 · 40 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Novi Pazar

  • homeZemun2:2
  • awayCukaricki Stankom1:1
  • homeZeleznicar Pancevo2:0
  • homeMacva Sabac1:1
  • awayRadnik Surdulica0:1

IMT Novi Beograd

  • awayVojvodina1:1
  • homeRed Star Belgrade0:1
  • awayOFK Beograd1:1
  • homeMladost Lucani2:0
  • awayRadnicki Kragujevac1:2

Head to head

  • 12/07/25SuperLiga3:2
  • 08/04/25SuperLiga1:2
  • 03/28/25SuperLiga0:0
  • 11/03/24SuperLiga3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
4Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
5IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
6Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
7Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
8Novi Pazar1034310:1113
9Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811
10OFK Beograd1023513:219

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.