Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.20
All matches
Neftekhimik — Rotor Volgograd, FNL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
22%28%50%
Neftekhimik22%Draw28%Rotor Volgograd50%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Neftekhimik4.54—
XDraw3.51—
2Rotor Volgograd2.02—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 22%, FK Rotor Volgograd 50%. The safest is “FK Rotor Volgograd or draw” at 78%.
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 22%Draw 28%FK Rotor Volgograd 50%
1st half
22 · 40 · 38
2nd half
23 · 36 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNeftekhimikRotor VolgogradCombined
Goals scored0.801.802.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Neftekhimik- Winless at home in 6 matches1:1, 2:4, 0:1, 0:1, 1:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Winless in 5 matches1:1, 1:2, 2:4, 0:1, 0:1
Rotor Volgograd- 2nd in the league for shots — 9.4 per match18 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Neftekhimik
- homeLeningradets1:1
- awayKAMAZ1:2
- homeChelyabinsk2:4
- homeUral0:1
- awaySpartak Kostroma0:1
Rotor Volgograd
- awayTorpedo Moscow1:1
- homeFK Sochi0:1
- homeVolga Ulyanovsk2:2
- awayTekstilshchik Ivanovo2:0
- homeYenisey4:0
Head to head
- 08/24/26FNL1:0
- 04/05/26FNL1:3
- 10/05/25FNL0:0
- 11/24/24FNL0:1
- 08/04/24FNL1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Russia, FNL: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.