Both teams to score
Yes46%
ours 2.19
No54%
ours 1.84
All matches
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FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk — FK Chelyabinsk, FNL
Russia, FNL
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
LLWLW
FK Chelyabinsk
DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%32%30%
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk39%Draw32%FK Chelyabinsk30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk2.59—
XDraw3.17—
2FK Chelyabinsk3.36—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK Neftekhimik NizhnekamskFK ChelyabinskCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners8.28.58.3
Cards3.02.35.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK Neftekhimik NizhnekamskFK Chelyabinsk
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 39%, FK Chelyabinsk 30%. The safest is “FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk or draw” at 70%.
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 39%Draw 32%FK Chelyabinsk 30%
1st half
28 · 44 · 27
2nd half
33 · 46 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- homeFK Ural0:1
- awayFK Spartak Kostroma0:1
- awayFK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk2:0
- homeFK Ufa0:1
- awayFK Rotor Volgograd1:0
FK Chelyabinsk
- homeFK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk1:1
- homeFK Ufa2:1
- awayFK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny1:1
- homeFK Spartak Kostroma0:1
- awayFK Sochi1:2
Head to head
- 05/02/26FNL0:2
- 08/30/25FNL1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
FK Arsenal Tula1234512:2213
FK Arsenal Tula1234512:221313
FK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast1234510:2013
FK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast1234510:201314FK Chelyabinsk1233613:1912
FK Chelyabinsk1233613:191215FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk124087:1512
FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk124087:151216
FK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny1223711:199
FK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny1223711:19917
FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo121478:197
FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo121478:197Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.