Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
—
Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Makhachkala
1.2LLWLL
Akron Togliatti
1.2WDDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%27%23%
Makhachkala49%Draw27%Akron Togliatti23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Makhachkala2.03—
XDraw3.67—
2Akron Togliatti4.26—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMakhachkalaAkron TogliattiCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners8.68.68.6
Cards2.24.66.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MakhachkalaAkron Togliatti
FK Makhachkala 49%, FK Akron Togliatti 23%. The safest is “FK Makhachkala or draw” at 76%.
FK Makhachkala 49%Draw 27%FK Akron Togliatti 23%
1st half
44 · 36 · 21
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Makhachkala
- homeCSKA Moscow1:3
- awayAkhmat Grozny2:3
- homeRodina Moskva2:0
- awayRubin Kazan1:3
- homeKrasnodar0:1
Akron Togliatti
- homeAkhmat Grozny2:0
- awayKrasnodar1:1
- awayOrenburg2:2
- homeCSKA Moscow2:2
- homeKrylia Sovetov0:3
Head to head
- 04/23/26Russian Premier League1:1
- 08/08/25Russian Premier League1:1
- 05/02/25Russian Premier League0:1
- 10/26/24Russian Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:18813
Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.