Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
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Macva Sabac — Red Star Belgrade, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
Macva Sabac
1.7LLDDW
Red Star Belgrade
4.1WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
17%73%
Macva Sabac10%Draw17%Red Star Belgrade73%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Macva Sabac10.14—
XDraw5.84—
2Red Star Belgrade1.37—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMacva SabacRed Star BelgradeCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded0.670.000.67
Corners8.310.09.2
Cards3.03.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Macva SabacRed Star Belgrade
FK Mačva Šabac 10%, Red Star Belgrade 73%. The safest is “Red Star Belgrade or draw” at 89%.
FK Mačva Šabac 10%Draw 17%Red Star Belgrade 73%
1st half
20 · 36 · 43
2nd half
16 · 32 · 52
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Macva Sabac
- homeMladost Lucani1:2
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo0:2
- homeRadnicki Kragujevac0:0
- awayNovi Pazar1:1
- homeRadnicki Nis1:0
Red Star Belgrade
- homeRadnicki Nis3:0
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo2:1
- awayIMT Novi Beograd1:0
- awayRadnik Surdulica0:0
- homePartizan2:1
Head to head
- 07/17/26SuperLiga0:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Red Star Belgrade1091024:328
Red Star Belgrade1091024:3282
Vojvodina1071221:1022
Vojvodina1071221:10223
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:9174
Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
Mladost Lucani1044210:12165
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:7156
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:10147
Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
Radnik Surdulica1035214:15148
Novi Pazar1034310:1113
Novi Pazar1034310:11139
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:181110
OFK Beograd1023513:219
OFK Beograd1023513:21911
Partizan922517:198
Partizan922517:19812
Radnicki Nis92256:118
Radnicki Nis92256:11813Macva Sabac102266:178
Macva Sabac102266:17814
Zemun100376:193
Zemun100376:193Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.