Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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FK Lokomotiv Tashkent — FC Nasaf Qarshi, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
LWDWW
FC Nasaf Qarshi
WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%25%42%
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent33%Draw25%FC Nasaf Qarshi42%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Lokomotiv Tashkent3.04—
XDraw4.07—
2FC Nasaf Qarshi2.35—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK Lokomotiv TashkentFC Nasaf QarshiCombined
Goals scored1.832.174.00
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners10.48.49.4
Cards1.61.63.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK Lokomotiv TashkentFC Nasaf Qarshi
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent 33%, FC Nasaf Qarshi 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent 33%Draw 25%FC Nasaf Qarshi 42%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
28 · 33 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
- homeNeftchi Fargona0:1
- homeMash'al Mubarek3:0
- awayFK Navbahor Namangan1:1
- homeFK Bunyodkor4:1
- awayXorazm FK Urganch3:1
FC Nasaf Qarshi
- awayFK Andijan4:1
- homeFK Bunyodkor3:0
- homeNeftchi Fargona6:2
- awayQizilqum Zarafshon PFK0:1
- awayFK Navbahor Namangan0:1
Head to head
- 04/23/26Uzbekistan Super League3:2
- 11/01/24Uzbekistan Super League0:1
- 06/02/24Uzbekistan Super League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent22147139:2049
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent22147139:20493
FK Navbahor Namangan22135439:2144
FK Navbahor Namangan22135439:21444FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:2835
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:28355
FK AGMK22105731:2935
FK AGMK22105731:29356FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:21347
Buxoro FK22104832:2934
Buxoro FK22104832:29348
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.