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Liepaja 0:0 Daugavpils, Virsliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Latvia, VirsligaMatch finished

2.0DDWLD
0:0HT 0:0
2.0WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
47%26%27%
Liepaja47%Draw26%Daugavpils27%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.06xG1.78
59Possession, %41
7Shots14
1Shots on target5
6Corners9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
12Fouls12
1Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 68 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Liepaja47%

    Actual: Draw — we had 26%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.552%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes51%

    Actual: No — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Liepaja47%2.12—
XDraw26%3.90—
2Daugavpils27%3.67—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Liepaja

  • homeSuper Nova3:3
  • homeTukums0:0
  • homeFS Jelgava3:0
  • homeAuda Riga2:3
  • homeDaugavpils0:0

Daugavpils

  • homeTukums2:0
  • awayFS Jelgava1:0
  • homeAuda Riga2:1
  • awayOgre United2:1
  • awayLiepaja0:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Virsliga0:0
  • 07/04/26Virsliga1:3
  • 05/17/26Virsliga2:1
  • 04/03/26Virsliga0:2
  • 11/02/25Virsliga2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Riga35258295:3383
3Auda Riga35217761:3870
4Daugavpils351491242:3751
5Liepaja351391349:4948
6Super Nova351161835:5339
7FS Jelgava35881937:6132

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.