Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89book 1.85
No47%
ours 2.12book 1.87
All matches
—
Kaisar Kyzylorda — Ordabasy, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1.3DWLLL
Ordabasy
2.8WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%22%59%
Kaisar KyzylordaMarket 5.8319%DrawMarket 4.9322%OrdabasyMarket 1.4559%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kaisar Kyzylorda5.215.83+2.0
XDraw4.524.93+1.8
2Ordabasy1.701.45-10.3
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKaisar KyzylordaOrdabasyCombined
Goals scored1.172.503.67
Conceded1.830.502.33
Corners11.29.010.1
Cards2.52.24.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kaisar KyzylordaOrdabasy
FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 19%, FK Ordabasy Shymkent 59%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 19%Draw 22%FK Ordabasy Shymkent 59%
1st half
29 · 38 · 32
2nd half
21 · 38 · 41
Bookmakers: 5.83 · 4.93 · 1.45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
68%1.30
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kaisar Kyzylorda
- awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- homeAtyrau1:0
- awayAltay0:2
- homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
- awayTobol2:3
Ordabasy
- awayAtyrau3:0
- homeAstana1:0
- awayOkzhetpes Kokshetau1:2
- homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk3:0
- homeAltay3:1
Head to head
- 03/20/26Kazakhstan Premier League0:2
- 08/10/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
- 05/11/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:5
- 08/31/24Kazakhstan Premier League2:1
- 06/29/24Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Ordabasy26194351:1861
Ordabasy26194351:18612
Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573
Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315
Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:3823Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.