Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
—
Kairat — Altay, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kairat
3.1LLWWW
Altay
1.5LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
75%18%
Kairat75%Draw18%Altay7%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kairat1.33—
XDraw5.67—
2Altay13.83—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKairatAltayCombined
Goals scored0.001.001.00
Conceded0.170.330.50
Corners14.09.311.7
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KairatAltay
FK Kairat Almaty 75%, Altay FC 7%. The safest is “FK Kairat Almaty or draw” at 88%.
FK Kairat Almaty 75%Draw 18%Altay FC 7%
1st half
56 · 32 · 12
2nd half
41 · 37 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kairat
- awayAstana0:1
- homeTobol1:4
- homeZhenys3:0
- awayCaspiy3:0
- awayYelimay2:0
Altay
- homeIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
- awayUlytau Zhezkazgan3:0
- homeKaisar Kyzylorda2:0
- awayZhenys0:1
- awayOrdabasy1:3
Head to head
- 03/07/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Ordabasy26194351:1861
Ordabasy26194351:18612Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573
Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:382316
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.