All matches

Jablonec — Slavia Prague, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Jablonec
2.5DLWLD
—
Slavia Prague
3.8WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
21%21%58%
Jablonec21%Draw21%Slavia Prague58%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jablonec21%4.80—
XDraw21%4.75—
2Slavia Prague58%1.72—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJablonecSlavia PragueCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.170.170.34
Corners12.013.012.5
Cards0.01.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

JablonecSlavia Prague

FK Jablonec 21%, SK Slavia Praha 58%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FK Jablonec 21%Draw 21%SK Slavia Praha 58%
1st half
28 · 35 · 37
2nd half
28 · 37 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Jablonec

  • homeFASTAV Zlin1:1
  • awaySparta Prague0:2
  • homeBanik Ostrava3:0
  • homeSlovan Liberec1:2
  • awayBohemians 19051:1

Slavia Prague

  • homeViktoria Plzen2:1
  • awayTeplice2:0
  • homeLens2:3
  • homeZbrojovka Brno4:0
  • awaySparta Prague3:0

Head to head

  • 05/13/26First League1:5
  • 12/13/25First League3:4
  • 08/16/25First League1:1
  • 05/18/25First League3:2
  • 03/16/25First League0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague972025:623
2Slovan Liberec962113:420
3Mlada Boleslav852117:917
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.