All matches

Isloch — Minsk, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Isloch
2.8LWDWD
—
Minsk
2.0LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
60%23%17%
Isloch60%Draw23%Minsk17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Isloch60%1.67—
XDraw23%4.35—
2Minsk17%5.87—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIslochMinskCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners10.412.811.6
Cards1.22.23.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IslochMinsk

FK Isloch Minsk 60%, FC Minsk 17%. The safest is “FK Isloch Minsk or draw” at 84%.

FK Isloch Minsk 60%Draw 23%FC Minsk 17%
1st half
51 · 33 · 15
2nd half
39 · 35 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Isloch

  • homeNeman Grodno1:2
  • homeGomel2:1
  • homeArsenal Dzyarzhynsk1:1
  • homeBATE Borisov2:0
  • awayDnepr Mogilev0:0

Minsk

  • awayBelshina Bobruisk0:2
  • homeSlavia-Mozyr1:0
  • awayNaftan Novopolotsk3:0
  • awayBATE Borisov1:2
  • homeVitebsk0:1

Head to head

  • 05/29/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 08/17/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:0
  • 04/06/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 10/20/24Vysheyshaya Liga2:3
  • 05/21/24Vysheyshaya Liga3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Isloch22136337:1845
2Vitebsk21128142:1744
3Dinamo Minsk21134437:1643
4Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
5Gomel23116633:1839
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136
8Minsk23104930:2834
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.