All matches

IMT Novi Beograd — Zeleznicar Pancevo, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

IMT Novi Beograd
2.0DLDWL
—
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.1WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%28%33%
IMT Novi Beograd38%Draw28%Zeleznicar Pancevo33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IMT Novi Beograd38%2.61—
XDraw28%3.54—
2Zeleznicar Pancevo33%2.99—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.89

No47%

ours 2.12

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIMT Novi BeogradZeleznicar PancevoCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners5.88.87.3
Cards2.52.85.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IMT Novi BeogradZeleznicar Pancevo

FK IMT Novi Beograd 38%, FK Železničar Pančevo 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

FK IMT Novi Beograd 38%Draw 28%FK Železničar Pančevo 33%
1st half
33 · 40 · 27
2nd half
31 · 41 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

IMT Novi Beograd

  • awayVojvodina1:1
  • homeRed Star Belgrade0:1
  • awayOFK Beograd1:1
  • homeMladost Lucani2:0
  • awayRadnicki Kragujevac1:2

Zeleznicar Pancevo

  • homeCukaricki Stankom2:1
  • homeRed Star Belgrade1:2
  • homeMacva Sabac2:0
  • awayNovi Pazar0:2
  • homeRadnik Surdulica5:1

Head to head

  • 12/13/25SuperLiga0:1
  • 08/11/25SuperLiga1:4
  • 05/04/25SuperLiga0:1
  • 12/21/24SuperLiga1:1
  • 08/18/24SuperLiga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
4Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
5IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
6Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
7Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
8Novi Pazar1034310:1113

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.