Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.41
All matches
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Hirnyk — Dynamo Kyiv, Ukrainian Premier League
Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League
Hirnyk
2.0LDLDW
Dynamo Kyiv
2.9WWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
21%23%56%
Hirnyk21%Draw23%Dynamo Kyiv56%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hirnyk4.74—
XDraw4.32—
2Dynamo Kyiv1.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHirnykDynamo KyivCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded0.670.000.67
Corners9.39.79.5
Cards1.71.73.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HirnykDynamo Kyiv
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih 21%, FC Dynamo Kyiv 56%. The safest is “FC Dynamo Kyiv or draw” at 78%.
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih 21%Draw 23%FC Dynamo Kyiv 56%
1st half
29 · 32 · 39
2nd half
21 · 37 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hirnyk
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:2
- awayChornomorets Odessa0:1
- homeLivyi Bereh1:1
- awayZorya Luhansk3:1
Dynamo Kyiv
- awayZorya Luhansk2:0
- homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi3:0
- homeLNZ Cherkasy0:0
- awayBukovyna Chernivtsi0:3
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26Ukrainian Premier League5:6
- 10/26/25Ukrainian Premier League0:4
- 04/12/25Ukrainian Premier League0:2
- 10/06/24Ukrainian Premier League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Polissya Zhytomyr760115:518
Polissya Zhytomyr760115:5183
Karpaty Lviv742115:514
Karpaty Lviv742115:5144Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
Dynamo Kyiv64119:5135
Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
Metalist Kharkiv640212:4126
Veres Rivne72326:69
Veres Rivne72326:697
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:788
LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
LNZ Cherkasy72235:889
Zorya Luhansk72237:118
Zorya Luhansk72237:11810
Livyi Bereh61414:37
Livyi Bereh61414:3711
Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:6712Hirnyk61237:105
Hirnyk61237:10513
Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
Kolos Kovalivka61236:10514
Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
Chornomorets Odessa61233:75Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.