Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Haugesund — IL Hødd, First Division
Norway, First Division
Haugesund
0.5WWWWW
IL Hødd
LLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
76%14%
Haugesund76%Draw14%IL Hødd10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Haugesund1.31—
XDraw6.97—
2IL Hødd10.47—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHaugesundIL HøddCombined
Goals scored1.670.502.17
Conceded0.501.672.17
Corners11.712.312.0
Cards2.31.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HaugesundIL Hødd
FK Haugesund 76%, IL Hødd 10%. The safest is “FK Haugesund or draw” at 92%.
FK Haugesund 76%Draw 14%IL Hødd 10%
1st half
57 · 29 · 15
2nd half
68 · 23 · 9
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Haugesund
- homeStabæk Fotball2:0
- homeStrømmen IF4:2
- awayMoss FK4:1
- homeSogndal Fotball2:0
- awayBryne FK2:0
IL Hødd
- homeOdds2:3
- awayKongsvinger IL1:5
- homeFC Lyn Oslo0:2
- awayÅsane Fotball2:2
- homeStabæk Fotball2:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26First Division2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Haugesund24181574:3955
Haugesund24181574:39552
Kongsvinger IL24165370:3553
Kongsvinger IL24165370:35533
Stromsgodset24156361:3151
Stromsgodset24156361:31514
Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
Stabæk Fotball24143757:31455
Odds24116750:3839
Odds24116750:38396
Bryne FK241221033:3138
Bryne FK241221033:31387IL Hødd241041040:4834
IL Hødd241041040:48348
Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
Ranheim Fotball24941161:58319
Egersunds IK24851136:4929
Egersunds IK24851136:4929Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.