Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
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Trinec — Arsenal Ceska Lipa, FNL
Czech Republic, FNL
Trinec
LWLLD
Arsenal Ceska Lipa
LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Trinec44%Draw26%Arsenal Ceska Lipa30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Trinec2.30—
XDraw3.80—
2Arsenal Ceska Lipa3.32—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TrinecArsenal Ceska Lipa
FK Fotbal Třinec 44%, FK Arsenal Česká Lípa 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FK Fotbal Třinec 44%Draw 26%FK Arsenal Česká Lípa 30%
1st half
36 · 37 · 27
2nd half
33 · 42 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTrinecArsenal Ceska LipaCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded1.170.671.84
Corners8.08.78.3
Cards1.70.72.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Trinec
- awayViktoria Zizkov0:3
- homeMFK Karviná3:2
- awayVlasim1:2
- homeBanik Ostrava U211:4
- awayOpava2:2
Arsenal Ceska Lipa
- awayOpava1:2
- homeProstejov0:0
- awayJihlava0:2
- homeVlasim2:1
- awayBanik Ostrava U211:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Opava924313:1510
Opava924313:151012
Viktoria Zizkov93158:1610
Viktoria Zizkov93158:161013Arsenal Ceska Lipa923410:169
Arsenal Ceska Lipa923410:16914
Prostejov915311:128
Prostejov915311:12815Trinec914410:177
Trinec914410:17716
Kromeriz91358:196
Kromeriz91358:196Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.