Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.87
No47%
ours 2.15
All matches
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Fakel Voronezh — Rodina Moskva, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Fakel Voronezh
0.9LDLLD
Rodina Moskva
1.6DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%29%34%
Fakel Voronezh37%Draw29%Rodina Moskva34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fakel Voronezh2.68—
XDraw3.48—
2Rodina Moskva2.95—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFakel VoronezhRodina MoskvaCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded1.171.332.50
Corners9.010.39.6
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Fakel VoronezhRodina Moskva
FK Fakel Voronezh 37%, FK Rodina Moskva 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
FK Fakel Voronezh 37%Draw 29%FK Rodina Moskva 34%
1st half
33 · 44 · 23
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Fakel Voronezh
- awaySpartak Moscow0:1
- homeBaltika Kaliningrad2:2
- awayRostov1:3
- homeZenit0:1
- homeOrenburg0:0
Rodina Moskva
- homeRubin Kazan1:1
- awayKrylia Sovetov1:2
- awayMakhachkala0:2
- homeBaltika Kaliningrad0:3
- awayDinamo Moskva1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:11715Rodina Moskva912610:225
Rodina Moskva912610:22516Fakel Voronezh90366:133
Fakel Voronezh90366:133Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.